Влияние Обменного Курса На Платежный Баланс в Современной Экономике (Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Balance of Payments in the Modern Economy)

94 Pages Posted: 2 Dec 2013 Last revised: 10 Jul 2015

See all articles by Alexander Knobel

Alexander Knobel

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Studies

A. Orlova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Moscow Campus

Yuriy Ponomarev

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Moscow Campus; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Date Written: November 30, 2013

Abstract

Целью представленной работы является оценка влияния колебаний обменного курса на различные составляющие платежного баланса в экономике России. Для достижения указанной цели в работе решены следующие задачи: -проведен обзор теоретических и эмпирических работ, посвященных построению и практическому применению моделей оценки влияния колебаний обменного курса на различные статьи платежного баланса; -предложена экономическая модель, позволяющая оценить величину влияния колебаний обменного курса на статьи платежного баланса в России и других странах; -проведены оценки влияния колебаний обменного курса на основные статьи платежного баланса, а также ряд составляющих их компонент в период с 2000 по 2011 гг.

The main purpose of the present paper is the impact evaluation of exchange rate fluctuations on the balance of payments statements. To achieve this objective the following tasks were fulfilled: •a review of theoretical and empirical models of exchange rate fluctuations impact on the balance of payments statements was conducted; •theoretical model for evaluation of exchange rate fluctuations impact on the balance of payments was constructed; •estimates of exchange rate fluctuations impact on the balance of payments statements were constructed for 2000-2011 period.

As initial data for estimation authors used The World Bank and IMF data, as well as scientific, analytical and statistical papers in Russian and foreign sources, including international organizations reports.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: balance of payments, fluctuations, exchange rate, the economy of Russia, Платежный баланс, колебания, обменный курс, экономика России

JEL Classification: G18

Suggested Citation

Knobel, Alexander and Orlova, A. and Ponomarev, Yuriy, Влияние Обменного Курса На Платежный Баланс в Современной Экономике (Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Balance of Payments in the Modern Economy) (November 30, 2013). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2361770 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2361770

Alexander Knobel (Contact Author)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Studies ( email )

Vernadsky Ave. 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

A. Orlova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Moscow Campus ( email )

Moscow
Russia

Yuriy Ponomarev

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Moscow Campus ( email )

Moscow
Russia

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

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