Strategic Mortgage Default: The Effect of Neighborhood Factors

Real Estate Economics, Forthcoming

Posted: 6 Dec 2013

See all articles by Michael Bradley

Michael Bradley

Independent; CoreLogic (Headquarters) - CoreLogic (Virginia Branch)

Amy Crews Cutts

AC Cutts & Associates LLC; National Association for Credit Management; Bright Query LLC; Riskspan

Wei Liu

CoreLogic (Headquarters) - CoreLogic (Texas Branch)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: November 24, 2013

Abstract

This paper studies strategic default — the willingness of a borrower to walk away from a mortgage when the value of the home falls below the unpaid principal balance despite an ability to pay. This study differs from the literature in two fundamental ways: first, we use unique data assets describing the household’s equity position and capacity to carry the debt in addition to credit performance to identify strategic defaulters accurately. Secondly, we address externalities from local foreclosures and other strategic defaults and find that the incidence of strategic default is sensitive to the presence of other nearby strategic defaulters. These results have significant implications for foreclosure and loss mitigation policies employed by servicers and investors.

Keywords: real estate finance

Suggested Citation

Bradley, Michael and Crews Cutts, Amy and Liu, Wei, Strategic Mortgage Default: The Effect of Neighborhood Factors (November 24, 2013). Real Estate Economics, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2363563

Michael Bradley

Independent ( email )

CoreLogic (Headquarters) - CoreLogic (Virginia Branch)

374 Maple Ave E
Vienna, VA 22180
United States

Amy Crews Cutts (Contact Author)

AC Cutts & Associates LLC ( email )

1403 Park Lake Dr
Reston, VA 20190
United States
7037603061 (Phone)

National Association for Credit Management ( email )

8840 Columbia 100 Pkwy.
Columbia, MD 21045
United States
7037603061 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://nacm.org

Bright Query LLC ( email )

1403 Park Lake Dr
Reston, VA 20190
United States
7037603061 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://brightquery.com

Riskspan ( email )

1300 17th Street North
Suite 1250
Arlington, VA 22209
United States
7037603061 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://riskspan.com

Wei Liu

CoreLogic (Headquarters) - CoreLogic (Texas Branch) ( email )

1 CoreLogic Drive
Westlake, TX 66262
United States

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