Crime in Urban Areas: New Evidence and Result

11 Pages Posted: 11 Dec 2013

See all articles by Samuel Myers

Samuel Myers

University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs

Date Written: February 13, 1980

Abstract

Crime supply functions are reestimated in this paper using data corrected for victim underreporting. It is found in both a mean — variance specification and a conventional crime supply function, which includes measures of the offender’s gains and losses involved in property crimes, that certainty and severity of punishment still deter. When correction for underreporting is made, the effects on the rates of robbery, burglary, larceny, and auto theft of increases in prison admission rates and prison sentence lengths remain negative. This seeming support for the “deterrence hypothesis” must be balanced against the strong evidence that improved legitimate opportunities have a negative effect on crime. Use of improved crime data and a more intuitive economic specification of the offense supply function leads to the conclusion that higher income is a better deterrent to some crimes than increased punishment.

Keywords: crime, urban areas, evidence, result, prison admisson rates

Suggested Citation

Myers, Samuel, Crime in Urban Areas: New Evidence and Result (February 13, 1980). Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 11, No. 148-15R, 1982. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2365398

Samuel Myers (Contact Author)

University of Minnesota - Twin Cities - Hubert H. Humphrey Institute of Public Affairs ( email )

301 19th Ave S
Minneapolis, MN 55455
United States

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