Measuring the Dynamics of Global Business Cycle Connectedness
30 Pages Posted: 19 Dec 2013 Last revised: 23 Dec 2013
Date Written: December 17, 2013
Using a connectedness-measurement technology fundamentally grounded in modern network theory, we measure real output connectedness for a set of six developed countries, 1962-2010. We show that global connectedness is sizable and time-varying over the business cycle, and we study the nature of the time variation relative to the ongoing discussion about the changing nature of the global business cycle. We also show that connectedness corresponding to transmissions to others from the United States and Japan is disproportionately important.
Keywords: Synchronization, coupling, de-coupling, network, G-7, real activity, industrial production, globalization
JEL Classification: E01, F42, F44
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation