Poverty Trends in Turkey

43 Pages Posted: 21 Dec 2013

See all articles by Sırma Demir

Sırma Demir

Turkey State Planning Organization

Stephen P. Jenkins

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Department of Social Policy and Administration; Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA); University of Essex - Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)

Abstract

This paper provides new evidence about poverty trends in Turkey between 2003 and 2011 and the factors accounting for them. We give particular attention to issues of statistical inference, and the choice of the poverty line and the poverty measure. Our robust conclusion is that absolute poverty declined rapidly between 2003 and 2008 but fell only slightly between 2008 and 2011. Changes in relative poverty were negligible throughout. Using poverty decomposition methods, we argue that the rate of decline in the absolute poverty rate is largely accounted for by changes in the rate of national economic growth rather than by changes in the income distribution or by changes in the distribution of poverty risks across various subgroups within the population or in population composition.

Keywords: poverty, Turkey, poverty dominance

JEL Classification: I32, D31, C12

Suggested Citation

Demir, Sırma and Jenkins, Stephen P., Poverty Trends in Turkey. IZA Discussion Paper No. 7823, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2370789

Sırma Demir (Contact Author)

Turkey State Planning Organization ( email )

Ankara
Turkey

Stephen P. Jenkins

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Department of Social Policy and Administration ( email )

Houghton Street
London, England WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom

Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

University of Essex - Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER) ( email )

Wivenhoe Park
Colchester CO4 3SQ
United Kingdom
+44 120 687 3374 (Phone)
+44 120 687 3151 (Fax)

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