The Assets and Liabilities of Cohorts: The Antecedents of Retirement Security

58 Pages Posted: 11 Jan 2014

See all articles by J. Michael Collins

J. Michael Collins

University of Wisconsin - Madison

John Karl Scholz

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Ananth Seshadri

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics

Date Written: October 4, 2013

Abstract

This paper uses repeated cross-sectional data from the Surveys of Consumer Finances (SCF) to characterize cohort patterns of net worth and debt of American households. Cohort patterns provide a useful benchmark for identifying potentially vulnerable households based on relative financial positions over time at similar ages. We also summarize attitudinal measures thought to be related financial capability. Both sets of descriptive data are useful in assessing the well-being of households over the life course and ultimately preparation for retirement. We find a striking rise in debt across cohorts over time, relative to total assets and relative to income, although debt-holding declines with age as is expected. Debt is dominated by mortgages, particularly for more recent cohorts relative to similar aged cohorts 15 year prior. Tabulations of age cohorts by race or education level show predictable similar patterns. An analysis of panel data using the 2007-2009 SCF provides some support for the idea that older households lost more during the recession, as did minorities and people of higher levels of net worth. While primarily descriptive in nature, the stylized facts presented in this paper are suggestive of the trajectory for households moving into retirement age over the next decade. We do not find substantial evidence of more recent generations falling behind, nor major shifts in attitudes towards risk taking or other attitudes that might be reasonably correlated with asset or debt levels.

Keywords: reitrement security, Great Recession, debt

Suggested Citation

Collins, J. Michael and Scholz, John Karl and Seshadri, Ananth, The Assets and Liabilities of Cohorts: The Antecedents of Retirement Security (October 4, 2013). Michigan Retirement Research Center Research Paper No. 2013-296. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2376841 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2376841

J. Michael Collins (Contact Author)

University of Wisconsin - Madison ( email )

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John Karl Scholz

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) ( email )

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Ananth Seshadri

University of Wisconsin - Madison - Department of Economics ( email )

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Madison, WI 53706
United States
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608-263-3876 (Fax)

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