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Corruption: The Good, the Bad, and the Uncertain

38 Pages Posted: 15 Jan 2014 Last revised: 7 Oct 2016

Jamie Bologna Pavlik

Texas Tech University - Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics

Date Written: September 6, 2016

Abstract

This paper argues that the relationship between corruption and economic growth is dependent upon the uncertainty involved. Employing data on a cross-section of countries, this paper uses an interaction between the frequency of bribery payments and the uncertainty regarding the delivery of the service in exchange for these bribes to show that corruption has a negative association with growth unless the uncertainty is minimal. Furthermore, the negative association becomes larger in magnitude with higher levels of uncertainty. At extremely high levels of uncertainty a relatively small increase in corruption, equivalent to moving from Sweden to the United States for example, is associated with economically large decreases in economic growth.

Keywords: corruption perceptions, corruption experience, uncertainty, growth

JEL Classification: D73, O5, O11

Suggested Citation

Bologna Pavlik, Jamie, Corruption: The Good, the Bad, and the Uncertain (September 6, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2379061 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2379061

Jamie Bologna Pavlik (Contact Author)

Texas Tech University - Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics ( email )

Box 42132
Lubbock, TX 79409-2132
United States

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