Management Forecasts and the Cost of Equity Capital: International Evidence

68 Pages Posted: 4 Feb 2014 Last revised: 15 Mar 2017

See all articles by Ying Cao

Ying Cao

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - School of Accountancy

Linda A. Myers

University of Tennessee, Haslam College of Business, Accounting and Information Management

Albert Tsang

York University - Schulich School of Business

Yong George Yang

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Faculty of Business Administration

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: October 2016

Abstract

In this paper, we examine international differences in the effect of management forecasts (which we use to proxy for voluntary disclosure) on the cost of equity capital (COC) across 31 countries. We find that the issuance of management forecasts is associated with a lower COC worldwide, but the effect of management forecasts on the COC is conditional on country-level institutional factors. Specifically, management forecasts have a stronger effect on the COC in countries with stronger investor protection and with better information dissemination, and a weaker effect in countries with higher mandatory disclosure requirements. Further analyses reveal that these relations are more pronounced when management forecasts are more frequent, more precise, and more disaggregated. Overall, our findings suggest that the ability of management forecasts to reduce firms’ COC derives not only from country-level factors that enhance the credibility of their forecasts, but also from factors that reflect the quality of the information environment in terms of the distribution of news and the availability and quality of alternative information. Thus, investor protection, media penetration, and mandatory disclosure requirements have an important effect on the ability of management forecasts to lower the COC.

Keywords: Management Forecasts, Voluntary Disclosure, International, Cost of Capital

JEL Classification: M4, M41, M45, G29, G12

Suggested Citation

Cao, Ying and Myers, Linda A. and Tsang, Albert and Yang, Yong George, Management Forecasts and the Cost of Equity Capital: International Evidence (October 2016). Asian Finance Association (AsianFA) 2014 Conference Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2389679 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2389679

Ying Cao

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - School of Accountancy ( email )

Shatin, N.T.
Hong Kong

Linda A. Myers

University of Tennessee, Haslam College of Business, Accounting and Information Management ( email )

Knoxville, TN
United States

Albert Tsang (Contact Author)

York University - Schulich School of Business ( email )

4700 Keele Street
Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3
Canada

Yong George Yang

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Faculty of Business Administration ( email )

Shatin, N.T.
Hong Kong

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