After the Vilnius Fiasco: Who is to Blame? What is to Be Done?

CEPS Essay No. 8

19 Pages Posted: 13 Feb 2014

See all articles by Michael Emerson

Michael Emerson

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)

Date Written: January 21, 2014


All three parties principally responsible for the Vilnius fiasco are to blame, each in their very different way: the EU for having drafted agreements with an inadequate balance between incentives and obligations, and vulnerable as a result to Putin’s aim to torpedo the whole process in favour of his misconceived Eurasian Union, while Yanukovich tried playing geo-political games that left him personally and the Ukrainian state as Putin’s hostage. It will require a major recalibration of policies to get this unstable new status quo back onto sound strategic lines, and proposals are advanced along three tracks in parallel: for rebuilding the remnants of the EU’s neighbourhood policy, for attempting to get Russia to take Lisbon to Vladivostok seriously, and for promoting a Greater Eurasia concept fit for the 21st century that would embrace the whole of the European and Asian landmass.

Keywords: EU, Eurasian Union, EU neighbourhood policy

Suggested Citation

Emerson, Michael, After the Vilnius Fiasco: Who is to Blame? What is to Be Done? (January 21, 2014). CEPS Essay No. 8, Available at SSRN:

Michael Emerson (Contact Author)

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) ( email )

1 Place du Congres
Brussels, 1000

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