The World Meat Market and the Brazilian Economy: An Econometric Input-Output Analysis

em Guilhoto, J.J.M. e G.J.D. Hewings (eds.) (2001). Structure and Structural Change in the Brazilian Economy. Aldershot: Ashgate. Cap. 15, pp. 331-374

49 Pages Posted: 25 Mar 2014

See all articles by Flavia M. M. Bliska

Flavia M. M. Bliska

Coffee Center, Agronomic Institute, IAC

Joaquim Guilhoto

University of Sao Paulo; Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) - Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (STI)

Date Written: 2001

Abstract

This chapter analyzes how changes in domestic and foreign macroeconomic variables can affect Brazilian meat exports and consequently the Brazilian economy, and how changes in the production process in the animal-raising sector, and the slaughter and meat processing industries affect their share in the Brazilian economy as well as those of other economic sectors. The analysis is conducted in two stages: initially, a vector auto-regression (VAR) model is used to evaluate the impact of changes in the domestic and foreign macroeconomic variables on Brazilian meat exports. Thereafter, the results obtained in the VAR model are applied in an input-output model to evaluate the changes in the levels of importance of the different production sectors, and especially in the animal-raising sectors and slaughter and meat processing industries. The results indicate that changes in macroeconomic variables can cause significant impacts on Brazilian meat exports, that, in turn, can affect the Brazilian economy mainly in the following sectors, corn farming, cattle, poultry and other animal-raising sectors, other farm products, chemistry, pharmacy and veterinary, plastic goods, beef, poultry and other meat process industries, other food products, commerce and transport, public utilities and services. Finally, changes in the production processes of the animal-raising sectors and slaughter and meat preparation industries do not affect their share in the Brazilian economy.

Keywords: Meat, Econometric analysis

Suggested Citation

Bliska, Flavia M. M. and Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins and Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, The World Meat Market and the Brazilian Economy: An Econometric Input-Output Analysis (2001). em Guilhoto, J.J.M. e G.J.D. Hewings (eds.) (2001). Structure and Structural Change in the Brazilian Economy. Aldershot: Ashgate. Cap. 15, pp. 331-374, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2414052 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2414052

Flavia M. M. Bliska

Coffee Center, Agronomic Institute, IAC ( email )

Av. Barão de Itapura 1481
Campinas
Brazil

Joaquim José Martins Guilhoto (Contact Author)

University of Sao Paulo ( email )

Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, 908
FEA2
Sao Paulo, 05508-010
Brazil
+ 55 011 3091-5870 (Phone)
+ 55 011 3813-4743 (Fax)

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) - Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry (STI) ( email )

Paris
France

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