Analysis of Municipal Refunding Policies: A 50 Year Historical Approach

20 Pages Posted: 28 Jan 2015

See all articles by Peter Orr

Peter Orr

Intuitive Analytics LLC

David de la Nuez

Intuitive Analytics LLC

Date Written: December 10, 2014

Abstract

The most common tax-exempt fixed-rate bond series structure in the $3.7 trillion US tax-exempt bond market includes callable debt for maturities greater than ten years. The decision as to when to refund (refinance) these bonds to generate interest cost savings is an important one historically manifested by the use of various heuristic criteria. Some municipal issuers codify these criteria and formally adopt them into what is commonly called a refunding policy. In this paper we measure and evaluate the performance of several dozen refunding policies through the lens of history. Using municipal and Treasury yield data dating to 1965, we calculate realized present value savings from various refunding policies under different monetary conditions. Among the dozens of policies examined, a single, new policy stands alone in realizing significantly greater present value savings than any other.

Keywords: Refunding, Municipal Bonds, Tax-exempt, Public Finance, Yield Curve, Options

Suggested Citation

Orr, Peter and de la Nuez, David, Analysis of Municipal Refunding Policies: A 50 Year Historical Approach (December 10, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2431267 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2431267

Peter Orr (Contact Author)

Intuitive Analytics LLC ( email )

100 Park Ave
Suite 1600
New York, NY 10017
United States
646.202.9446 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.intuitive-analytics.com/

David De la Nuez

Intuitive Analytics LLC ( email )

100 Park Ave.
Suite 1600
New York, NY 10017
United States
646 202 9446 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.intuitive-analytics.com/

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