Fertility Responses to Expectations of Child Mortality in a Tuscan Village 1700-1913: A Micro-Data Approach

23 Pages Posted: 14 May 2014

See all articles by Mette Ejrnaes

Mette Ejrnaes

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics

Karl Gunnar Persson

University of Copenhagen

Date Written: April 24, 2014

Abstract

This paper exploits microdata from parish registers in a rural Tuscan village to trace the relationship between experienced and expected child mortality on household fertility strategies. It turns out that spacing of births and hence completed fertility are not only linked to economic risks and infant mortality but also to expected mortality risks as proxied by past child mortality in the village and in previous generations. The results indicate that before the demographic transition households made sequential fertility choices within marriage as a response to economic shocks as well as expected child mortality.

Keywords: Fertility, Child mortality, Historical demography, Hazard model

JEL Classification: J13, N33, C41

Suggested Citation

Ejrnes, Mette and Persson, Karl Gunnar, Fertility Responses to Expectations of Child Mortality in a Tuscan Village 1700-1913: A Micro-Data Approach (April 24, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2436391 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2436391

Mette Ejrnes (Contact Author)

University of Copenhagen - Department of Economics ( email )

Øster Farimagsgade 5
Bygning 26
1353 Copenhagen K.
Denmark
+45 35323062 (Phone)
+45 35323064 (Fax)

Karl Gunnar Persson

University of Copenhagen ( email )

Nørregade 10
Copenhagen, København DK-1165
Denmark

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