Nationalist Protests, Government Responses, and the Risk of Escalation in Interstate Disputes

Security Studies 25:3, July 2016

46 Pages Posted: 15 May 2014 Last revised: 7 Oct 2018

See all articles by John Ciorciari

John Ciorciari

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy

Jessica Chen Weiss

Cornell University - Department of Government

Date Written: July 18, 2014

Abstract

While the existing literature emphasizes that elites often have incentives to pander to nationalist sentiment, much less attention has been paid to elite efforts to subdue popular nationalism, either to avoid unwanted domestic instability or international escalation. This article examines how different governments respond to nationalist protests and the resulting effects that such protests have on the risk that interstate disputes will escalate to armed conflict. We emphasize the importance of regime type, arguing that nationalist protests present particular dangers in transitional or hybrid regimes, where demonstrations often pose serious threats of instability but are difficult or costly for the government to subdue, tempting or forcing leaders to escalate to appease domestic critics. We illustrate the theory with four cases representing a range of regime types: Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, and the Philippines.

Suggested Citation

Ciorciari, John and Weiss, Jessica Chen, Nationalist Protests, Government Responses, and the Risk of Escalation in Interstate Disputes (July 18, 2014). Security Studies 25:3, July 2016 , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2436668 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2436668

John Ciorciari

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy ( email )

735 South State Street, Weill Hall
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www-personal.umich.edu/~johncior/

Jessica Chen Weiss (Contact Author)

Cornell University - Department of Government ( email )

Ithaca, NY 14853
United States

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
312
Abstract Views
1,955
Rank
147,975
PlumX Metrics