Comparing Chess Openings Part 3: Queen's Pawn Openings
20 Pages Posted: 26 May 2014
Date Written: May 24, 2014
A dual engine experimental design for comparing chess openings was described in a previous paper (Munshi, Comparing Chess Openings, 2014). It is used in this paper to study ten chess openings that are initiated with the queen's pawn move 1. d4. One of the openings is identified as the mainline and the other nine as variations from the mainline. Five of the variations are found to be benign innovations and the other four are deemed to be failed innovations. The findings are mostly consistent with expert opinion. The primary purpose of this paper, however, is not these specific findings but rather the further development and verification of an objective and quantitative methodology for the evaluation of chess openings in general.
Keywords: chess openings, chess engines, refutation, methodology, Monte Carlo simulation, numerical methods, probability vector, Euclidean distance, robust statistics, bootstrap
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