Do Insiders Trade on Mispricing After Earnings Announcements?
37 Pages Posted: 9 Jun 2014 Last revised: 21 Jan 2016
Date Written: November 20, 2015
This paper conjectures that insiders exploit their stock's mispricing after earnings announcements to make profitable trades. We design two sets of tests to provide evidence of insider trading on mispricing of their stock. First, insiders' purchases and sales are profitable both after positive and negative earnings surprises, which indicates that their trading strategies are superior to simple contrarian or momentum trading strategies. Second, we estimate a model of 'normal' market reaction to an earnings announcement and use the deviation of the fitted value from the realized market reaction as our measure of mispricing after earnings announcements. In line with the mispricing hypothesis, we show that insiders sell (buy) more often after large positive (negative) values of our mispricing measure and earn significant post trading returns.
Keywords: Insider trading, Contrarian trading, Earnings announcements, Mispricing
JEL Classification: G14, G19, G39
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation