Investor Competition over Information and Stock Returns

51 Pages Posted: 13 Jun 2014 Last revised: 24 Apr 2015

See all articles by Yawen Jiao

Yawen Jiao

University of California, Riverside

Date Written: April 23, 2015

Abstract

Drawing upon recent research on the governance effect of information competition among informed investors, we hypothesize a cross-sectional variation in future stock returns that is conditional on information competition. Measuring competition using the concentration of institutional ownership, we show one-quarter-ahead and one-year-ahead returns are increasing in the intensity of information competition. This relationship stems from competition among short-term institutional investors and is more pronounced for stocks with high valuation uncertainty and/or when managerial incentives are more aligned with stock prices. We also find that intense information competition is associated with superior operating performance and more favorable earnings news in the next four quarters. Overall, the results suggest that equity prices and corporate performance are related to competition among informed investors.

Keywords: information competition; stock returns; corporate performance

JEL Classification: G32; G12; G20

Suggested Citation

Jiao, Yawen, Investor Competition over Information and Stock Returns (April 23, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2448536 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2448536

Yawen Jiao (Contact Author)

University of California, Riverside ( email )

Riverside, CA 92521
United States

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