Investor Sentiment and Employment

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, forthcoming

50 Pages Posted: 14 Jun 2014 Last revised: 17 Feb 2019

See all articles by Maurizio Montone

Maurizio Montone

Luxembourg School of Finance

Remco C. J. Zwinkels

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Tinbergen Institute - Tinbergen Institute Amsterdam (TIA)

Date Written: February 1, 2019

Abstract

We develop a multi-country model with moral hazard and noise traders, and show that investor sentiment should affect employment growth both domestically and abroad. Using a large sample of international industry-level data, we find strong support for the model's predictions. We show that US investor sentiment has a positive association with labor market conditions around the world, due to spillover effects as well as foreign direct investments from the US. We also find that US sentiment amplifies the negative effect of local financial crises on job losses, which supports the idea that financial development has a "dark side".

Keywords: Investor sentiment; Labor market; Financial development, Financial crises

JEL Classification: G10, G30, F21, J30

Suggested Citation

Montone, Maurizio and Zwinkels, Remco C.J., Investor Sentiment and Employment (February 1, 2019). Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2449958 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2449958

Maurizio Montone

Luxembourg School of Finance ( email )

4 Rue Albert Borschette
Luxembourg, L-1246
Luxembourg

Remco C.J. Zwinkels (Contact Author)

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam ( email )

De Boelelaan 1105
Amsterdam, NL-1081HV
Netherlands
+31 20 59 85220 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://research.vu.nl/en/persons/remco-zwinkels

Tinbergen Institute - Tinbergen Institute Amsterdam (TIA) ( email )

Gustav Mahlerplein 117
Amsterdam, 1082 MS
Netherlands

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