The Association between Market and Exchange Rate Risks and Accounting Variables: A GARCH Model of the Japanese Banking Institutions

24 Pages Posted: 17 Jun 2014

See all articles by Elyas Elyasiani

Elyas Elyasiani

Temple University - Department of Finance

Iqbal Mansur

Widener University - School of Business Administration

Date Written: 2005

Abstract

This study has two purposes. First, it estimates the market, interest rate, and exchange rate sensitivities (betas) of the Japanese banking institutions. Second, it investigates the relationship between the market-based measures of risk and accounting-based financial ratios. We extend the literature in three important ways. First, we employ a multi-factor GARCH model to estimate the betas. This framework incorporates non-linearities in the bank stock return modeling and allows for time-varying risk premia. Second, we investigate the determinants of market and exchange rate risk in terms of bank financial ratios. To this end, we regress the beta measures derived from the GARCH model against the corporate decision variables to determine the direction and the magnitude of the impact of the latter on the market and exchange rate risk exposures. Third, by using data on the Japanese banking institutions, we provide a comparison of the bank interest rate and exchange rate sensitivities and the strength of the links between the risk measure and the corporate decision variables between the U.S. and the Japanese banking institutions. This comparison sheds light on the robustness of the results concerning interest rate and exchange rate risk, and their determinants, across the two countries. Several interesting results are obtained. First, empirical results indicate that interest rate is only occasionally significant while market and exchange rate variables are significant for all the banks in the sample. Second, market and exchange rate risk measures do impound information in the financial ratios with the explanatory power of the market beta model being higher than that of the exchange rate beta model. Third, the association of the market-based risk measures and the financial ratios is weaker for the Japanese banks than those found for their U.S. counterparts in the existing literature.

Keywords: bank, Japanese, risk, accounting ratios

JEL Classification: G21, F37

Suggested Citation

Elyasiani, Elyas and Mansur, Iqbal, The Association between Market and Exchange Rate Risks and Accounting Variables: A GARCH Model of the Japanese Banking Institutions (2005). Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 25: 183–206, 2005; Fox School of Business Research Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2451191

Elyas Elyasiani (Contact Author)

Temple University - Department of Finance ( email )

Fox School of Business and Management
Philadelphia, PA 19122
United States
215-204-5881 (Phone)
215-204-5698 (Fax)

Iqbal Mansur

Widener University - School of Business Administration ( email )

3800 Vartan Way
PO Box 69381
Harrisburg, PA 17106-9381
United States

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