Dating the Turning Points of Nordic Business Cycles

EPRU Working Paper No. 00/13

17 Pages Posted: 27 Nov 2000

See all articles by Peter Christoffersen

Peter Christoffersen

University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management; Copenhagen Business School; Aarhus University - CREATES

Abstract

When were the significant turning points in business activity in the Nordic countries during the last fourty years? How frequent, long, and sharp were the contractions? This paper provides answers to these questions by applying the Bry and Boschan (1971) algorithms, which have been used to analyze business cycle turns in several countries, in particular the United States. Applying the same methods for Nordic countries it is found that contractions were unusually long and frequent in Sweden, while expansions were unusually long in Finland and Norway. However, contractions were not necessarily sharper in Sweden when compared with the other Nordic countries. Surprisingly, not much evidence of a common Nordic cycle is found. It appears instead that Sweden and Denmark tend to mimic the downturns in the G-7 countries more closely than Finland and Norway.

Suggested Citation

Christoffersen, Peter, Dating the Turning Points of Nordic Business Cycles. EPRU Working Paper No. 00/13. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=249613 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.249613

Peter Christoffersen (Contact Author)

University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management ( email )

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Copenhagen Business School

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Aarhus University - CREATES

School of Economics and Management
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DK-8000 Aarhus C
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