Livestock Gross Margin-Dairy Insurance: An Assessment of Risk Management and Potential Supply Impacts
31 Pages Posted: 27 Sep 2014
Date Written: March 1, 2014
Abstract
Public risk management policies for dairy producers have the potential to induce expansion in milk supplies, which might lower farm-level prices and offset risk-reduction benefits. An evaluation of USDA’s Livestock Gross Margin-Dairy (LGM-Dairy) insurance program finds economic downside risk significantly reduced, with potential to induce modest supply expansion (0 to 3 percent) if widely adopted. Supply impacts are likely limited due to relatively low participation levels and a minimal (“inelastic”) supply response to risk. LGM-Dairy is more flexible and convenient than other risk management tools, such as hedging directly in futures or options markets, especially for small farms.
Keywords: dairy, gross margins, risk management, LGM-Dairy, insurance, milk supplies, livestock
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