Enhancing the Relevance of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability Research

Climatic Change, February 2014, Volume 122, Issue 3, pp 481-494

14 Pages Posted: 7 Oct 2014

See all articles by Bas van Ruijven

Bas van Ruijven

National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

Marc A. Levy

Columbia University - Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN)

Arun Agrawal

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor

Frank Biermann

VU University Amsterdam - Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM)

Joern Birkmann

United Nations - United Nations University (UNU)

Timothy Carter

Government of the Republic of Finland - Finnish Environment Institute

Kristie Ebi

Stanford University

Matthias Garschagen

United Nations - United Nations University (UNU)

Bryan Jones

National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

Roger Jones

Victoria University

Eric Kemp-Benedict

Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI)

Marcel Kok

PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (Bilthoven)

Kasper Kok

Wageningen UR

Maria C. Lemos

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - School of Natural Resources & Environment

Paul Lucas

PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (Bilthoven)

Ben Orlove

School of International and Public Affairs Columbia University MC 3323

Shonali Pachauri

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Thomas M. Parris

Sustainability Programs

Anand Patwardhan

University of Maryland

Arthur Petersen

VU University Amsterdam

Benjamin Preston

Government of the United States of America - Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Jesse Ribot

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Dale Scott Rothman

Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures

Vanessa J. Schweizer

National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)

Date Written: September 18, 2013

Abstract

This paper discusses the role and relevance of the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) and the new scenarios that combine SSPs with representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability (IAV) research. It first provides an overview of uses of social environmental scenarios in IAV studies and identifies the main shortcomings of earlier such scenarios. Second, the paper elaborates on two aspects of the SSPs and new scenarios that would improve their usefulness for IAV studies compared to earlier scenario sets: (i) enhancing their applicability while retaining coherence across spatial scales, and (ii) adding indicators of importance for projecting vulnerability. The paper therefore presents an agenda for future research, recommending that SSPs incorporate not only the standard variables of population and gross domestic product, but also indicators such as income distribution, spatial population, human health and governance.

Suggested Citation

Ruijven, Bas van and Levy, Marc A. and Agrawal, Arun and Biermann, Frank and Birkmann, Joern and Carter, Timothy and Ebi, Kristie and Garschagen, Matthias and Jones, Bryan and Jones, Roger and Kemp-Benedict, Eric and Kok, Marcel and Kok, Kasper and Lemos, Maria C. and Lucas, Paul and Orlove, Ben and Pachauri, Shonali and Parris, Thomas M. and Patwardhan, Anand and Petersen, Arthur and Preston, Benjamin and Ribot, Jesse and Rothman, Dale Scott and Schweizer, Vanessa J., Enhancing the Relevance of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability Research (September 18, 2013). Climatic Change, February 2014, Volume 122, Issue 3, pp 481-494. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2506162

Bas van Ruijven

National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) ( email )

Boulder, CO 80307
United States

Marc A. Levy

Columbia University - Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) ( email )

New York, NY 10964
United States

Arun Agrawal

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor ( email )

500 S. State Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States

Frank Biermann

VU University Amsterdam - Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) ( email )

De Boelelaan 1115
Amsterdam, 1081 HV
Netherlands

Joern Birkmann

United Nations - United Nations University (UNU) ( email )

Tokyo, 150-8925
Japan

Timothy Carter

Government of the Republic of Finland - Finnish Environment Institute ( email )

00260 Helsinki
Finland

Kristie Ebi

Stanford University ( email )

Stanford, CA 94305
United States

Matthias Garschagen

United Nations - United Nations University (UNU) ( email )

Tokyo, 150-8925
Japan

Bryan Jones

National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) ( email )

Boulder, CO 80307
United States

Roger Jones

Victoria University ( email )

Footscray Park
PO Box 14428
Melbourne, 8001
Australia

Eric Kemp-Benedict

Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) ( email )

11 Curtis Avenue
Somerville, MA 02144
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.sei.org/

Marcel Kok

PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (Bilthoven) ( email )

Antonie van Leeuwenhoeklaan 9
Bilthoven, 3721 MA
Netherlands

Kasper Kok

Wageningen UR ( email )

Hollandseweg 1
Wageningen, 6706KN
Netherlands

Maria C. Lemos

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor - School of Natural Resources & Environment ( email )

440 Church St.
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States

Paul Lucas

PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (Bilthoven) ( email )

Antonie van Leeuwenhoeklaan 9
Bilthoven, 3721 MA
Netherlands

Ben Orlove (Contact Author)

School of International and Public Affairs Columbia University MC 3323 ( email )

420 West 118th Street, room 833
New York, NY 10027
United States
+1 (212) 854 1543 (Phone)

Shonali Pachauri

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis ( email )

Schlossplatz 1
Laxenburg, A-2361
Austria

Thomas M. Parris

Sustainability Programs ( email )

Burlington, VT 05401
United States

Anand Patwardhan

University of Maryland ( email )

College Park
College Park, MD 20742
United States

Arthur Petersen

VU University Amsterdam ( email )

De Boelelaan 1105
Amsterdam, ND North Holland 1081 HV
Netherlands

Benjamin Preston

Government of the United States of America - Oak Ridge National Laboratory ( email )

1 Bethel Valley Road, P.O. Box 2008, Mail Stop 608
Room B-106, Building 5700
Oak Ridge, TN 37831
United States

Jesse Ribot

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign ( email )

601 E John St
Champaign, IL 61820
United States

Dale Scott Rothman

Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures ( email )

Denver, CO 80208
United States

Vanessa J. Schweizer

National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) ( email )

Boulder, CO 80307
United States

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