Estimating Firm-Specific Implied Risk Premium

46 Pages Posted: 16 Oct 2014

Date Written: June 3, 2014

Abstract

This paper proposes a new approach to infer a firm-specific measure of the implied cost of capital. It incorporates endogenously estimated industry-year growth rate of the net present value of future investments. It requires only one-year-ahead forecasts of earnings, and dividend payout policy is irrelevant. The measure is intrinsically linked to commonly used accounting ratios including book-to-market, (forward) earnings yield, dividend-to-price as well as growth and past returns. It is significantly positively associated with future realized stock returns and also significantly correlates with commonly used risk characteristics in a theoretically predicted manner.

Keywords: Expected returns, Implied risk premium, Growth, Earnings forecasts, Asset pricing test

JEL Classification: G12, G32, M41

Suggested Citation

Wang, Pengguo, Estimating Firm-Specific Implied Risk Premium (June 3, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2510307 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2510307

Pengguo Wang (Contact Author)

Xfi, University of Exeter ( email )

Streatham Court
Exeter, EX4 4PU
United Kingdom

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