Climate Variability and International Migration: An Empirical Analysis

43 Pages Posted: 30 Oct 2014

See all articles by Nicola D. Coniglio

Nicola D. Coniglio

Università degli Studi di Bari “Aldo Moro” (UNIBA) - Department of Economics and Mathematical Methods

Giovanni Pesce

Università degli Studi di Bari “Aldo Moro” (UNIBA)

Date Written: October 10, 2014

Abstract

Is international migration an adaptation strategy to sudden or gradual climatic shocks? In this paper we investigate the direct and the indirect role of climatic shocks in developing countries as a determinant of out-migration flows toward rich OECD countries in the period 1990-2001. Contrarily to the bulk of existing studies we use a macro approach and explicitly consider the heterogeneity of climatic shocks (type, size, sign of shocks and seasonal effects). Our results show that the occurrence of adverse climatic events in origin countries has significative direct and indirect effects on out-migration from poor to rich countries.

Keywords: Climate shocks; international migration

JEL Classification: Q54, F22

Suggested Citation

Coniglio, Nicola D. and Pesce, Giovanni, Climate Variability and International Migration: An Empirical Analysis (October 10, 2014). NHH Dept. of Economics Discussion Paper No. 31/2014, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2515887 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2515887

Nicola D. Coniglio (Contact Author)

Università degli Studi di Bari “Aldo Moro” (UNIBA) - Department of Economics and Mathematical Methods ( email )

Largo Abbey St. Scholastica
Bari, 70124
Italy

HOME PAGE: http://www.dse.uniba.it/Corsi/docenti/Coniglio/Nicola_paginaWeb.htm

Giovanni Pesce

Università degli Studi di Bari “Aldo Moro” (UNIBA) ( email )

Piazza Umberto I
Bari, 70121
Italy

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