Globalization, Wage Polarization, and the Unstable Great Ratio

51 Pages Posted: 4 Nov 2014

See all articles by Guido Cozzi

Guido Cozzi

University of St. Gallen

Giammario Impullitti

University of Nottingham

Date Written: October 23, 2014

Abstract

The US labour market has experienced a remarkable polarization in the 1980s and 1990s. Moreover, recent empirical work has documented a sharp increase in the wealth to income ratio in that period. Contemporary to these inequality trends, the US faced a fast technological catch-up as European countries and especially Japan drastically improved their global innovation and patenting activity. Is foreign technological convergence an important source of the recent evolution of the US wage and employment structure? Can it contribute shaping the dynamics of wealth-to-income ratio? To answer these questions, we set up a Schumpeterian model of endogenous technological progress with two asymmetric countries, heterogeneous workers, and endogenous skill formation. High ability people acquire education and become skilled, those with intermediate abilities work as unskilled workers in production jobs, and those at the bottom of the ability distribution work in service occupations. Service workers provide personal services allowing their employers to save working time. In equilibrium, only skilled workers buy personal services. Fiercer foreign competition triggered by technological catching up shifts production jobs abroad and forces domestic firms to innovate more. Hence, the employment share of production workers shrinks, while the demand for both high skilled and service sector workers rises, thus increasing polarization. Calibrating the model to match key facts of the US economy, we find that foreign technological catching-up observed between the late 1970s and early 1990s reproduces a non-negligible part of US wage polarization and substantial part of the increase in the wealth-to-income ratio in that period.

Keywords: wage polarization, heterogeneous workers, wealth-income ratio, endogenous technical change, international technology competition, personal service sector

JEL Classification: F16, J31, O33

Suggested Citation

Cozzi, Guido and Impullitti, Giammario, Globalization, Wage Polarization, and the Unstable Great Ratio (October 23, 2014). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5031, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2518943 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2518943

Guido Cozzi

University of St. Gallen ( email )

Giammario Impullitti (Contact Author)

University of Nottingham ( email )

University Park
Nottingham, NG8 1BB
United Kingdom

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