Understanding Differences in Growth Performance in Latin America and Developing Countries between the Asian and Global Financial Crises

56 Pages Posted: 22 Nov 2014

See all articles by Roberto Alvarez

Roberto Alvarez

University of Chile - Department of Economics

Jose de Gregorio

Central Bank of Chile; Universidad de Chile; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Date Written: November 2014

Abstract

Latin American performance during the global financial crisis was unprecedented. Many developing and emerging countries successfully weathered the worst crisis since the Great Depression. Was it good luck? Was it good policies? In this paper we compare growth during the Asian and global financial crises and find that a looser monetary policy played an important role in mitigating crisis. We also find that higher private credit, more financial openness, less trade openness, and greater exchange rate intervention worsened economic performance. Our analysis of Latin American countries confirms that effective macroeconomic management was key to good economic performance. Finally, we present evidence from a sample of 31 emerging markets that high terms of trade had a positive impact on resilience.

Keywords: Latin America, Emerging Markets, Developing Countries, Global Financial Crisis, Macroeconomic Policies

JEL Classification: E58, E63, F3

Suggested Citation

Alvarez, Roberto and de Gregorio, Jose, Understanding Differences in Growth Performance in Latin America and Developing Countries between the Asian and Global Financial Crises (November 2014). Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper No. 14-11, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2529020 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2529020

Roberto Alvarez (Contact Author)

University of Chile - Department of Economics ( email )

Diagonal Paraguay 257
Torre 26, Of. 1801
Santiago
Chile

Jose De Gregorio

Central Bank of Chile ( email )

Agustinas 1180
Santiago
Chile

Universidad de Chile ( email )

Ministry of Finance Teatinos l20 - Piso l2
Santiago
Chile

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

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