Agriculture, Incomes, and Gender in Latin America by 2050: An Assessment of Climate Change Impacts and Household Resilience for Brazil, Mexico, and Peru

72 Pages Posted: 6 Jan 2015

See all articles by Lykke Andersen

Lykke Andersen

Institute for Advanced Development Studies (INESAD)

Clemens Breisinger

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Daniel Mason-D'Croz

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Luis Carlos Jemio

Institute for Advanced Development Studies (INESAD)

Claudia Ringler

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Ricky Robertson

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Dorte Verner

World Bank - Latin America and Caribbean Region

Manfred Wiebelt

University of Kiel - Institute for World Economics (IfW)

Date Written: December 2, 2014

Abstract

This report has been prepared in response to growing concerns about the impacts of climate change on Latin American economies, agriculture, and people. Findings suggest that because of the climate change impacts on agricultural production (yield change) and international food prices, unless proper mitigation measures are implemented, by 2050 Brazil and Mexico may face accumulated economic loses between US$ 272.7 billion and US$ 550.6 billion and between US$ 91.0 billion and US$ 194.7, respectively. Peru, with a different productive structure, may face both economic gain and loss (a gain of US$11.0 billion against a loss of US$ 43.3 billion).

Keywords: Mexico, Brazil, Peru, Latin America, North America, South America, Economics, Macroeconomics, Agriculture, Climate Change, Food Prices, Gender, Women, Productivity, Income

Suggested Citation

Andersen, Lykke and Breisinger, Clemens and Mason-D'Croz, Daniel and Jemio, Luis Carlos and Ringler, Claudia and Robertson, Ricky and Verner, Dorte and Wiebelt, Manfred, Agriculture, Incomes, and Gender in Latin America by 2050: An Assessment of Climate Change Impacts and Household Resilience for Brazil, Mexico, and Peru (December 2, 2014). IFPRI Discussion Paper 1390. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2539588

Lykke Andersen (Contact Author)

Institute for Advanced Development Studies (INESAD) ( email )

Calle 21 #8350, Edif. Monrroy Velez, Piso 7
Calacoto
La Paz, 0000
Bolivia

HOME PAGE: http://www.inesad.edu.bo

Clemens Breisinger

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ( email )

2033 K Street, NW
Washington, DC 20006
United States

Daniel Mason-D'Croz

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ( email )

1201 Eye St, NW,
Washington, DC 20005
United States

Luis Carlos Jemio

Institute for Advanced Development Studies (INESAD)

Calle 21 #8350, Edif. Monrroy Velez, Piso 7
Calacoto
La Paz, 0000
Bolivia

Claudia Ringler

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ( email )

1201 Eye St, NW,
Washington, DC 20005
United States

Ricky Robertson

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ( email )

1201 Eye St, NW,
Washington, DC 20005
United States

Dorte Verner

World Bank - Latin America and Caribbean Region ( email )

1818 H Street NW
Washington, DC 20433
United States

Manfred Wiebelt

University of Kiel - Institute for World Economics (IfW) ( email )

Duesternbrooker Weg 120
D-24118 Kiel
Germany

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