Russian Periphery is Dying in Movement: A Cohort Assessment of Russian Internal Youth Migration Based on Census Data

34 Pages Posted: 31 Dec 2014

See all articles by Ilya Kashnitsky

Ilya Kashnitsky

National Research University Higher School of Economics; Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI)

Nikita Mkrtchyan

National Research University Higher School of Economics; Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA)

Date Written: December 23, 2014

Abstract

In this paper we study youth migration in Russia at the sub-regional level of administrative division. The aim of the research is to assess the volume of internal youth migration. The task is only doable with the use of census data, which not only allows us to research at the sub-regional level, but also provides much more accurate information on youth migration than the current migration record does. We used the survival method to study sub-regional population dynamics. As mortality is quite insignificant at young ages, most of the change in cohort size is caused by migration. Our estimates show that during the last intercensus period (2003-2010) up to 70 percent of youth cohorts have left the regional periphery for good after graduating from school, and there was no significant return to the demographically depleted periphery in the young working ages.

Keywords: Youth migration; Periphery depopulation; Cohort migration studies; Survival method; Maps of population

Suggested Citation

Kashnitsky, Ilya and Mkrtchyan, Nikita, Russian Periphery is Dying in Movement: A Cohort Assessment of Russian Internal Youth Migration Based on Census Data (December 23, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2542299 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2542299

Ilya Kashnitsky

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.hse.ru/staff/ikashnitsky

Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) ( email )

P.O. Box 11650
NL-2502 AR The Hague
Netherlands

HOME PAGE: http://nidi.nl/en/staff/overview/kashnitsky

Nikita Mkrtchyan (Contact Author)

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.hse.ru/org/persons/203471

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Sredny av. V.O., 57/43
Moscow, St. Petersburg 119571
Russia

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