Аналитическое и методическое обеспечение пенсионной реформы в средне- и долгосрочной перспективе (Analytical and Methodological Support for the Pension System Reform in a Mid- and Long-Term Outlook)

87 Pages Posted: 8 Jan 2015 Last revised: 9 Aug 2017

See all articles by Yury Gorlin

Yury Gorlin

RANEPA - Institute for Social Analysis and Prediction

Tatyana Maleva

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting

Elena Grishina

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting

Yulia Dormidontova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting

M. Kirillova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Victor Lyashok

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting

Vladimir Nazarov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Dmitry Saponov

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting

Alla Makarentseva

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting

Vitaly Fedorov

RANEPA - Institute for Social Analysis and Prediction

Anna Cheremnykh

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

July Chumakova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Date Written: November 1, 2014

Abstract

Russian Abstract: Цель настоящего исследования – разработка аналитического и методического обеспечения пенсионной реформы в средне- и долгосрочной перспективе.

В результате выполнения данной работы были выполнены следующие задачи:

- выполнен анализ действующих подходов к расчету межбюджетных трансфертов из Федерального бюджета бюджету Пенсионного фонда Российской Федерации;

- сформированы требования к методикам и моделям расчета межбюджетных трансфертов из Федерального бюджета бюджету Пенсионного фонда Российской Федерации;

- разработана методика расчета межбюджетных трансфертов из Федерального бюджета бюджету Пенсионного фонда Российской Федерации;

- выполнен анализ действующих подходов к индексации пенсии;

- сформированы требования к методике расчета стоимости пенсионного коэффициента;

- разработана методика расчета стоимости пенсионного коэффициента;

- выполнена разработка предложений по увеличению взносооблагамой базы страховых взносов в социальные фонды;

- произведена оценка эффекта от вывода из тени взносооблагаемых доходов за счет контроля уплаченных страховых взносов при покупке имущества, требующего государственной регистрации;

- рассмотрены вопросы эффективности накопительной компоненты обязательного пенсионного страхования;

- выполнен анализ экономических и социальных последствий отказа от осуществления фиксированной выплаты к страховой пенсии в период осуществления трудовой деятельности для лиц, выходящих на пенсию с января 2015 года;

- сформулирован ряд предложений по дальнейшей оптимизации пенсионной системы.

Основные результаты настоящей НИР использованы при разработке проектов ряда решений государственных органов по вопросам пенсионной проблематики.

English Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to describe the analytical and methodological support for the pension system reform in a mid- and long-term outlook.

The key results are as follows:

- the analysis of current approaches to the intergovernmental transfers (between the State budget and Pension Fund of the Russian Federation) calculation was performed;

- requirements for the methodology and pension model calculation were developed;

- the methodology for the intergovernmental transfers (between the State budget and Pension Fund of the Russian Federation) calculation was developed;

- the analysis of current approached to the pension indexation was performed;

- requirements for the methodology of the pension coefficient value calculation were developed;

- the methodology for the pension coefficient value calculation was developed;

- proposals for the increase in social insurance contribution base were suggested;

- the assessment of measures to reduce informal employment was performed;

- the analysis of the efficiency of the insurance part of the PAYG pension was performed;

- the analysis of social and economic impacts of denial of the fixed base pension for persons who enter pension age after 2015 was performed;

- the analysis of the state program "Pension system development" was performed;

- proposals for the development of the pension system were suggested.

These results were used by the government of the Russian Federation in developing key decisions concerning pension issues.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: Pension, Intergovernmental transfers calculation, Pension coefficient value calculation, Insurance part of pension, Fixed base size of pension, Insurance contributions

JEL Classification: H55

Suggested Citation

Gorlin, Yury and Maleva, Tatyana and Grishina, Elena and Dormidontova, Yulia and Kirillova, M. and Lyashok, Victor and Nazarov, Vladimir and Saponov, Dmitry and Makarentseva, Alla and Fedorov, Vitaly and Cheremnykh, Anna and Chumakova, July, Аналитическое и методическое обеспечение пенсионной реформы в средне- и долгосрочной перспективе (Analytical and Methodological Support for the Pension System Reform in a Mid- and Long-Term Outlook) (November 1, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2542513 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2542513

Yury Gorlin (Contact Author)

RANEPA - Institute for Social Analysis and Prediction ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Tatyana Maleva

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting ( email )

Prechistenskaya naberezhnaya 11
Moscow, Moscow 119034
Russia

Elena Grishina

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting ( email )

Prechistenskaya naberezhnaya 11
Moscow, Moscow 119034
Russia

Yulia Dormidontova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting ( email )

Prechistenskaya naberezhnaya 11
Moscow, Moscow 119034
Russia

M. Kirillova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Victor Lyashok

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting ( email )

Prechistenskaya naberezhnaya 11
Moscow, Moscow 119034
Russia

Vladimir Nazarov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereulok, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Dmitry Saponov

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting ( email )

Prechistenskaya naberezhnaya 11
Moscow, Moscow 119034
Russia

Alla Makarentseva

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting ( email )

Prechistenskaya naberezhnaya 11
Moscow, Moscow 119034
Russia

Vitaly Fedorov

RANEPA - Institute for Social Analysis and Prediction ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Anna Cheremnykh

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

July Chumakova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

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