Evolution of Russia's Political Party System Under the Influence of Social Conformity: 1993-2011

38 Pages Posted: 12 Jan 2015

See all articles by Stephen Coleman

Stephen Coleman

Metropolitan State University (retired)

Date Written: January 11, 2015

Abstract

The Russian political party system has developed through a tumultuous era, progressing from extreme fragmentation to a smaller, more stable number of parties. Much of this change was engineered by elites and especially by President Putin, leading to the question of whether the result is a normal party system by traditional Western standards or just a tool of the government. By means of a predictive, quantitative mathematical model, the analysis shows that the party system indeed has grown strong popular roots with a great impact on the overall distribution of votes among the parties. This is caused by the pervasive but unconscious effect of social norms and social conformity on voters, which contrasts starkly with the rational-choice model of voting.

Keywords: social norms, social conformity, political sociology, mathematical model, voting, Russia

JEL Classification: C21, C51, D72, D87, P03

Suggested Citation

Coleman, Stephen, Evolution of Russia's Political Party System Under the Influence of Social Conformity: 1993-2011 (January 11, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2548265 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2548265

Stephen Coleman (Contact Author)

Metropolitan State University (retired) ( email )

St. Paul, MN 55108
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.populardelusions.org

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