Tax Rates and Corporate Decision Making
Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 30, No. 9, 2017, pp. 3128–3175.
85 Pages Posted: 13 Jan 2015 Last revised: 22 Sep 2017
John R. Graham
Duke University; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Michelle Hanlon
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management
Terry J. Shevlin
University of California-Irvine; University of California-Irvine
Nemit Shroff
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management
Date Written: January 20, 2017
Abstract
We survey companies and find that many use incorrect tax rate inputs into important corporate decisions. Specifically, many companies use an average tax rate (the GAAP effective tax rate, ETR) to evaluate incremental decisions, rather than using the theoretically correct marginal tax rate. We find evidence consistent with behavioral biases (heuristics, salience) and managers’ educational backgrounds affecting these choices. We estimate the economic consequences of using the theoretically incorrect tax rate and find that using the ETR for capital structure decisions leads to suboptimal leverage choices and using the ETR in investment decisions makes firms less responsive to investment opportunities.
Keywords: Tax rates, marginal tax rate, effective tax rate, investment, capital structure, behavioral biases, salience, heuristics
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
John Robert Graham
Duke University ( email )
Box 90120
Durham, NC 27708-0120
United States
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919-660-8030 (Fax)
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
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Cambridge, MA 02138
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Michelle Hanlon

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )
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Cambridge, MA 02142
United States
617-253-9849 (Phone)
Terry J. Shevlin
University of California-Irvine ( email )
Paul Merage School of Business
Irvine, CA 92697-3125
United States
949-824-6149 (Phone)
University of California-Irvine ( email )
Paul Merage School of Business
Irvine, CA California 92697-3125
United States
2065509891 (Phone)
Nemit Shroff (Contact Author)

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )
100 Main St.
E62-688
Cambridge, MA MA 02142
United States
6173240805 (Phone)
HOME PAGE: http://mitsloan.mit.edu/faculty/detail.php?in_spseqno=51407&co_list=F
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