Causality and Innovations between Fertility and Infant Mortality

31 Pages Posted: 31 Dec 2000  

Tadashi Yamada

University of Tsukuba - Institute of Socio-Economic Planning; NBER

Date Written: March 1983

Abstract

The main issue of this paper is to study the sign and direction of causality between two demographic variables --the fertility rate and the infant mortality rate - by using time series methodology. It is shown that a fall in fertility will decrease infant mortality below its normal level. It is also shown that fertility and infant mortality are not mutually independent but jointly determined. Therefore, when one constructs a model of the relationship between fertility and infant mortality,it is suggested that one should estimate a fertility equation in which infant mortality rate is an endogenous variable in a simultaneous equations system and vice versa.

Suggested Citation

Yamada, Tadashi, Causality and Innovations between Fertility and Infant Mortality (March 1983). NBER Working Paper No. w1093. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=254880

Tadashi Yamada (Contact Author)

NBER

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United States

University of Tsukuba - Institute of Socio-Economic Planning ( email )

Tennodai 1-1-1
Tsukuba Ibaraki-ken 305
Japan

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