Reversal and Momentum Patterns in Weekly Stock Returns: European Evidence
1 Pages Posted: 21 Jan 2015 Last revised: 4 Aug 2018
We analyze short-term reversal and medium-term momentum patterns in weekly stock returns in Europe. Focusing on raw and on stock-specific returns, our empirical results show for both return specifications i) a negative relation between weekly past returns and future returns in the short run and ii) a positive relation in the medium run. However, returns of reversal and momentum strategies based on stock-specific returns are less volatile. In further analyses, we find short-term reversal and medium-term momentum patterns to be connected to stock characteristics. Looking at the potential causes of these effects, our results do not corroborate that short-term reversal in weekly stock returns is due to an over- or underreaction to firm-specific news nor mainly driven by illiquidity. On the other hand, medium-term momentum in weekly stock returns can be connected to behavioral biases. Finally, our concluding tests confirm that our findings are robust among industries, in sub-periods, for the January effect and in varying market states.
Keywords: Short-term reversal, medium-term momentum, conventional strategy, stock-specific strategy, stock characteristics
JEL Classification: G11, G12, G14
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