The Rich and the Great Recession

37 Pages Posted: 6 Feb 2015

See all articles by Bas Berend Bakker

Bas Berend Bakker

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Joshua Felman

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Date Written: December 2014

Abstract

Most papers explaining the macro causes of the U.S. Great Recession focus on the behavior of the middle class: how its saving rate declined in the pre-crisis years, then surged following the crisis. This paper argues that the saving rate of the rich followed a similar pattern, the result of wealth effects associated with a boom-bust in asset prices. Indeed, the swings in saving by the rich must actually have played the most important role in the consumption boom-bust, since since the top 10 percent account for almost half of income and two-thirds of wealth. In other words, the rich played a critical role in the Great Recession.

Keywords: Income inequality, United States, Income distribution, Private savings, Household consumption, Economic recession, Econometric models, wealth inequality, business cycles, assets, reserve, debt, disposable income, prices, marginal propensity to consume, valuation, consumption function, real income, trends, elasticity, wages, variables, real estate, household debt, macroeconomics, econometrics, monetary policy, growth rate, gdp, national income, mortgages, financial crisis, central bank, trough, income groups, political economy, debts, consumption increases, lags, measurement, distribution of wealth, households, advanced economies, homeowners, loan, loan delinquency

JEL Classification: E12, E21, E32, E52, N12

Suggested Citation

Bakker, Bas Berend and Felman, Josh, The Rich and the Great Recession (December 2014). IMF Working Paper No. 14/225. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2561270

Bas Berend Bakker (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

Josh Felman

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

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