Sequential Judgment Effects in the Workplace: Evidence from the National Basketball Association

16 Pages Posted: 7 Feb 2015

See all articles by Paul Gift

Paul Gift

Pepperdine University, Graziadio School of Business and Management

Date Written: April 2015

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of past performance evaluations on future decisions involving judgment. I analyze the decisions of highly skilled and highly monitored referees regarding offensive fouls and violations in the National Basketball Association. After testing for equilibrium adjustments in player behavior, findings support a hypothesis of increased referee scrutiny on one team following a potentially questionable call on the opposing team. Results are inconclusive for subsequent changes in scrutiny toward the original violating team. The analysis provides a nonexperimental test of sequential bias on elite employees working under strict performance standards, and suggests a likely role for sequential judgment effects in other areas of economic activity.

JEL Classification: D03, L83, J44, M59

Suggested Citation

Gift, Paul, Sequential Judgment Effects in the Workplace: Evidence from the National Basketball Association (April 2015). Economic Inquiry, Vol. 53, Issue 2, pp. 1259-1274, 2015. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2561683 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12186

Paul Gift (Contact Author)

Pepperdine University, Graziadio School of Business and Management ( email )

6100 Center Drive
Los Angeles, CA 90045
United States

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