94 Pages Posted: 19 Feb 2015 Last revised: 28 Dec 2016
Date Written: December 1, 2016
Politicians may strategically time unpopular measures to coincide with newsworthy events that distract the media and the public. We test this hypothesis in the context of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. We find that Israeli attacks are more likely to occur when U.S. news on the following day are dominated by important predictable events. Strategic timing applies to attacks that bear risk of civilian casualties and are not too costly to postpone. Content analysis suggests that Israel's strategy aims at minimizing next-day coverage, which is especially charged with negative emotional content. Palestinian attacks do not appear to be timed to U.S. news.
Keywords: Conflict, Media, News pressure, Strategic timing, Israel, Palestine
JEL Classification: D74, L82, N4, D72
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Durante, Ruben and Zhuravskaya, Ekaterina, Attack When the World Is Not Watching? U.S. News and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (December 1, 2016). Journal of Political Economy, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2566741 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2566741