The Effect of IMF and World Bank Programs on Poverty

31 Pages Posted: 8 Feb 2001  

William Easterly

New York University - Department of Economics

Date Written: December 2000

Abstract

Structural adjustment, as measured by the number of adjustment loans from the IMF and World Bank, reduces the effect of growth on poverty reduction. Growth does reduce poverty, but I find no evidence for a direct effect of structural adjustment on growth. Instead, the poor benefit less from output expansion in countries with many adjustment loans than in countries with few adjustment loans. By the same token, the poor suffer less from an output contraction in countries with many adjustment loans than in countries with few adjustment loans. Higher adjustment lending seems to act in a way similar to higher inequality in lowering the stake of the poor in aggregate growth. Why would this be? One hypothesis that adjustment lending is counter-cyclical in ways that smooth consumption for the poor. There is evidence that some policy variables under adjustment lending are counter-cyclical, but there is no evidence that the cyclical component of those policy variables affects poverty. I speculate that the poor may be ill-placed to take advantage of new opportunities created by structural adjustment reforms, just as they may suffer less from the loss of old opportunities in sectors that were artificially protected prior to reforms.

Keywords: Poverty reduction, structural adjustment, economic growth

JEL Classification: I3,O1,O4,O19

Suggested Citation

Easterly, William, The Effect of IMF and World Bank Programs on Poverty (December 2000). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=256883 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.256883

William Easterly (Contact Author)

New York University - Department of Economics ( email )

269 Mercer Street
New York, NY 10003
United States

Paper statistics

Downloads
3,538
Rank
2,032
Abstract Views
13,420