Inflation, Debt and the Zero Lower Bound
16 Pages Posted: 25 Mar 2015
Date Written: October 23, 2014
This paper analyses the macroeconomic effects of a protracted period of low and falling inflation rates when monetary policy is constrained by the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates and the private sector is indebted in nominal terms (debt-deflation channel). In this scenario, even cost-push shocks that in normal circumstances would reduce inflation and stimulate output are found to have contractionary effects on economic activity, especially when the interplay of ZLB and debt deflation is considered.
Keywords: zero lower bound, monetary policy, disinflation, debt-deflation channel
JEL Classification: E21, E31, E37, E52
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