Моделирование Последствий Экономической Политики и Изменения Поведения Экономических Агентов (Modeling the Effects of Economic Policy and Changes in the Behavior of Economic Agents)

101 Pages Posted: 2 Apr 2015

See all articles by Alexandra Bozhechkova

Alexandra Bozhechkova

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research

Natalya Vashelyuk

Department of Economics, RANEPA

P. Nazarov

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Yury Perevyshin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics

Elena Tumanova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Natalia Shagas

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Date Written: March 23, 2015

Abstract

Russian Abstract: В работе проведен многоаспектный анализ последствий шоков для экономического развития стран на современном этапе. Проведен эконометрический анализ динамики совокупного выпуска, потребления, инвестиций, реальной заработной платы в ответ на фискальные шоки в российской экономике 2002-2014 гг. Дан ответ на вопрос о наличии и характере влияния уровня выпуска на неравенство в доходах в ходе эконометрического исследования, проведенного на региональных данных РФ для периода с 2000 по 2011 гг. На основе проведенных расчетов за период 1990-2010 гг. методами панельного анализа выявлены факторы экономического роста стран на разных этапах развития. На основе существующих моделей и построенных авторских модификаций проведен всесторонний анализ влияния коррупции на основные макроэкономические показатели. Исследовано влияние финансового сектора на экономическое развитие на панельных данных.

English Abstract: This paper is devoted to the multidimensional analysis of the impact of shocks to the economic development of the countries at the present stage. Econometric analysis was applied for investigation fiscal policy shocks on the dynamics of aggregate output, consumption, investment, real wages in the Russian economy, 2002-2014. Paper analyzed the question about the existence and nature of the impact of the level of output on income inequality in the econometric study conducted at the regional data of the Russian Federation for the period 2000 to 2011. Using methods of panel analysis for the period 1990-2010, factors of economic growth of countries at different stages of development were identified. A comprehensive analysis of the impact of corruption on the main macroeconomic indicators was made on the basis of existing models and our modifications. The influence of the financial sector to economic development on panel data was studied.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: economic development, Russia, econometric analysis, consumption, fiscal policy

Suggested Citation

Bozhechkova, Alexandra and Vashelyuk, Natalya and Nazarov, P. and Perevyshin, Yury and Tumanova, Elena and Shagas, Natalia, Моделирование Последствий Экономической Политики и Изменения Поведения Экономических Агентов (Modeling the Effects of Economic Policy and Changes in the Behavior of Economic Agents) (March 23, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2584960 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2584960

Alexandra Bozhechkova (Contact Author)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereylok 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia

Natalya Vashelyuk

Department of Economics, RANEPA ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, Moscow 119571
Russia

P. Nazarov

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Yury Perevyshin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Department of Economics ( email )

Russia

Elena Tumanova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Natalia Shagas

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

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