Forecasting Moscow Ambulance Trips
Posted: 29 Mar 2015 Last revised: 14 Sep 2015
Date Written: March 27, 2015
This paper presents a method and computational technology for forecasting ambulance trips. We used statistical information about the number of the trips in 2009-2013, the meteorological archive, and the corresponding archive of the meteorological forecasts for the same period. We take into account social and meteorological predictors simultaneously. The method may be used operatively for planning in the ambulance service. It may be applied for all trips and for specific subgroups of diseases. The method and the technology may be applied for any megalopolis if the corresponding medical and meteorological information is available.
Keywords: weather forecasting, trips forecasting, disease, air temperature, correlation function, spline, optimization
JEL Classification: C32, C52, C53, C61, C63, I1
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