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The Political Settlement and Oil in Uganda

ESID Working Paper No. 48

27 Pages Posted: 16 Apr 2015  

Sam Hickey

University of Manchester

Badru Bukenya

Makerere University - Department of Social Work and Social Adminstration

Angelo Izama

Independent

William Kizito

Independent

Date Written: March 31, 2015

Abstract

The capacity and commitment of Uganda to govern its oil in developmental ways has generally been discussed through a ‘new institutionalist’ prism that focuses on the dangers of the ‘resource curse’. This paper argues that the developmental potential of oil in Uganda can be more insightfully understood through a political settlements framework which goes beyond a focus on institutional form to examine deeper forms of politics, power and ideas. Drawing on in-depth primary research, we focus in particular on the extent to which the interplay of interests and ideas within the ruling coalition in Uganda has enabled it to protect its national interest during negotiations with international oil companies. However, our reading of the underlying dynamics within Uganda’s political settlement suggests that the impressive levels of elite commitment and bureaucratic capacity displayed to date are unlikely to withstand the intensified pressures that will accompany the commencement of oil flows.

Keywords: oil, Uganda, political settlement, state capacity, elite commitment

Suggested Citation

Hickey, Sam and Bukenya, Badru and Izama, Angelo and Kizito, William, The Political Settlement and Oil in Uganda (March 31, 2015). ESID Working Paper No. 48. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2587845 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2587845

Sam Hickey (Contact Author)

University of Manchester ( email )

Oxford Road
Manchester, M13 9PL
United Kingdom

Badru Bukenya

Makerere University - Department of Social Work and Social Adminstration ( email )

Kampala
Uganda

Angelo Izama

Independent ( email )

William Kizito

Independent ( email )

No Address Available

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