The Great and Little Divergence: Where Lies the True Onset of Modern Economic Growth?

74 Pages Posted: 11 May 2015

See all articles by Jack A. Goldstone

Jack A. Goldstone

George Mason University, Schar School of Policy and Government

Date Written: April 26, 2015

Abstract

The Great and Little Divergence are examined in light of recent data on GDP/capita in the pre-industrial world. The Little Divergence is shown to be a myth, based on pasting together distinct and limited episodes of growth that peter out; and on close examination of diverse data on health, farm output, and gdp China and Europe are shown to be on similar tracks up through 1800. Even England and Holland show no evidence of a marked divergence from the rest of the world in economic output per capita until after 1780.

Keywords: Economic Growth, California School, Great Divergence, Little Divergence

JEL Classification: N10, N30, N35, O10, O57

Suggested Citation

Goldstone, Jack A., The Great and Little Divergence: Where Lies the True Onset of Modern Economic Growth? (April 26, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2599287 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2599287

Jack A. Goldstone (Contact Author)

George Mason University, Schar School of Policy and Government ( email )

3401 Fairfax Drive
Arlington, VA 22201
United States

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