Research Assessment Using Early Citation Information

24 Pages Posted: 5 May 2015 Last revised: 6 May 2015

See all articles by Stephan Bruns

Stephan Bruns

University of Kassel - Meta-Research in Economics Group

David I. Stern

Australian National University (ANU) - Crawford School of Public Policy

Date Written: April 30, 2015

Abstract

We show that university rankings in economics based on long-run citation counts can be easily predicted using early citations. The rank correlation between universities’ cumulative citations received over ten years for economics articles published in 2003 and 2004 and citations received in 2003 to 2004 alone is 0.91 in the UK and 0.82 in Australia. We compare these citation-based university rankings with the rankings of the 2008 Research Assessment Exercise in the UK and the 2010 Excellence in Research assessment in Australia. Rank correlations are quite strong but there are differences between rankings based on this type of peer review and rankings based on citation counts. However, if assessors are willing to consider citation analysis to assess some disciplines as is the case for the natural sciences and psychology in Australia there seems no reason to not include economics in this set.

Keywords: Citation, research assessment, bibliometrics

JEL Classification: A14

Suggested Citation

Bruns, Stephan and Stern, David I., Research Assessment Using Early Citation Information (April 30, 2015). Crawford School Research Paper No. 15-0. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2602151 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2602151

Stephan Bruns (Contact Author)

University of Kassel - Meta-Research in Economics Group ( email )

Nora-Platiel-Str. 5
Kassel
Germany

David I. Stern

Australian National University (ANU) - Crawford School of Public Policy ( email )

ANU College of Asia and the Pacific
J.G. Crawford Building, #132, Lennox Crossing
Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 0200
Australia

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