Two Centuries of Farmland Prices in England

28 Pages Posted: 23 Jun 2015 Last revised: 21 Feb 2017

See all articles by Arvydas Jadevicius

Arvydas Jadevicius

Kaunas University of Technology

Simon Huston

Coventry University; Chartered Institute of Management Accountants (CIMA)

Andrew Baum

University of Oxford, Said Business School

Date Written: August 5, 2015

Abstract

The dissemination of robust real estate data can help to improve market efficiency and investment analysis. To provide a perspective on property prices, a long series is vital. While long commercial and residential real estate data series are available, agricultural land is less well served. Comparable series describing long-term price and return histories for farmland in England are fragmented. We redress this data deficiency after considering the methodological complexities involved. The study employs a chain-linking approach to construct a long-term farmland price series for England. It then adjusts the series for inflation to examine real land prices. The resulting two-century series of English farmland prices establishes a basis for a more efficient farmland market analysis.

Notwithstanding issues around long-run chain component heterogeneity, the combined series illuminates English average farmland price dynamics and changing land market fortunes. For more than two centuries English land price real capital returns were positive. Farmland real price growth was 0.33 per cent annually from 1781 to 2013 and 0.71 per cent from 1801 to 2013 as measured by the geometric mean. The series provides prima facie support for land investment, even when ignoring spatial peri-urban opportunities, rental income or tax advantages.

Keywords: Farmland; Prices; Returns; England

Suggested Citation

Jadevicius, Arvydas and Huston, Simon and Baum, Andrew, Two Centuries of Farmland Prices in England (August 5, 2015). Saïd Business School WP 2015-8, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2604130 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2604130

Arvydas Jadevicius (Contact Author)

Kaunas University of Technology ( email )

Lithuania

Simon Huston

Coventry University ( email )

William Morris Building
Coventry, CV1 5FB
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.coventry.ac.uk/

Chartered Institute of Management Accountants (CIMA) ( email )

26 Chapter Street
London, SW1P 4NP
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.cimaglobal.com/

Andrew Baum

University of Oxford, Said Business School ( email )

Park End Street
Oxford, OX1 1HP
United Kingdom

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