Modeling for Transition Management

17 Pages Posted: 16 Jun 2015

See all articles by Emile Chappin

Emile Chappin

Delft University of Technology - Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management

Gerard P. J. Dijkema

Delft University of Technology - Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management

Date Written: June 15, 2015

Abstract

A framework for the modeling and simulation of transitions is presented. A transition, “substantial change in the state of a socio-technical system”, typically unfolds over a long timespan. We therefore suggest to use simulation to inform transition managers on the effect of their decisions. Transition models preferably meet five functional requirements: to allow for the representation of physical and social components, for material and immaterial interactions, to allow the system structure to change, to compute transition indicators and to capture the effect of interventions. Modeling the decarbonization of the power sector illustrates that an agent-based model allows us to let both the content and the structure of a system to emerge in a simulation.

Keywords: Transition, Socio-technical system, Simulation, Transition Modeling, Energy Infrastructure System

Suggested Citation

Chappin, Emile and Dijkema, Gerard P. J., Modeling for Transition Management (June 15, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2618413 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2618413

Emile Chappin (Contact Author)

Delft University of Technology - Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management ( email )

P.O. Box 5015
2600 GB Delft
Netherlands

Gerard P. J. Dijkema

Delft University of Technology - Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management

P.O. Box 5015
2600 GB Delft
Netherlands

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