Euroscepticism and the Crisis: Evidence from a 108-Elections Panel Study

26 Pages Posted: 19 Jun 2015 Last revised: 26 Apr 2016

See all articles by Francesco Nicoli

Francesco Nicoli

University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research (AISSR)

Date Written: June 18, 2015

Abstract

The recent European elections have shown a sharp rise in parties and independent parliament members generally perceived as “Eurosceptic”. Against this background, this paper analyses the interconnections between distressed economies, the fall of confidence in traditional political parties, and the electoral success of hard-line Eurosceptic parties. On a panel of 108 elections between 2008 and 2015, the random-effects model shows the relative impact of long and short term political trust, economic performance indicators, and institutional variables in determining the rise of hard-line Eurosceptic parties. In contrast with previous studies, which tended to de-emphasize the impact of economic performance in determining the success of Eurosceptic forces, the results of this paper detect both a direct and a mediated impact of the economic crisis on the electoral success of hard-line Eurosceptic parties.

Keywords: Euroscepticism, EU, European Union, Extreme right, eurocrisis, european integration

Suggested Citation

Nicoli, Francesco, Euroscepticism and the Crisis: Evidence from a 108-Elections Panel Study (June 18, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2620220 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2620220

Francesco Nicoli (Contact Author)

University of Amsterdam - Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research (AISSR) ( email )

Amsterdam Roeterseilandcampus
Nieuwe Achtergracht 166
Amsterdam, 1018 WV
Netherlands

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