Extreme Risk Spillover in Financial Markets: Evidence from the Recent Financial Crisis

Abstract

This paper evaluates the data from the recent financial crisis to examine the risk spillover effects of financial markets value at risk (VaR), which captures the extreme behavior of an asset, is considered a measure of risk in an asset or in a market. We hypothesize that an extreme downside movement of returns in a market measured by a VaR has negative effects on other markets, causing a similar movement of returns in the latter. In particular, we postulate that in the recent crisis, an extreme downside movement in a major market affected other markets, and that these effects intensified. Our empirical results based on the data from several countries with various markets confirm these postulates.

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis, Risk Spillover, Value at Risk

JEL Classification: C11, C14, C2, C3, C5