A General Linear Model for Trends in Tropical Cyclone Activity
20 Pages Posted: 16 Jul 2015
Date Written: June 2015
The ACE index is used to compare tropical cyclone activity worldwide among seven decades from 1945 to 2014. Some increase in tropical cyclone activity is found relative to the earliest decades. No trend is found after the decade 1965-1974. A comparison of the six cyclone basins in the study shows that the Western Pacific Basin is the most active basin and the North Indian Basin the least. The advantages of using a general linear model for trend analysis are described.
Keywords: tropical cyclones, climate change, global warming, extreme weather, hurricanes, typhoons, trend analysis, general linear model, applied statistics, accumulated cyclone energy, ACE index, cyclone activity, trend analysis
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