Edgeworth Price Cycles and Intertemporal Price Discrimination

46 Pages Posted: 29 Aug 2015

Date Written: May 10, 2011

Abstract

In a retail gasoline market exhibiting Edgeworth Price Cycles, prices change asymmetrically with many small decreases interrupted by occasional large increases. The result is a de facto menu of prices from which consumers can choose based on exactly when they buy. This article introduces four classes of purchase timing strategies designed to systematically shift consumer purchases towards the cycle troughs. It shows in the study market of Toronto, Canada, the monetary gains to consumers from optimized timing strategies are as high as 3.9%. Markups earned from these consumers fall up to 82%. In spite of the gains from timing strategies, surprisingly few consumers use them. Evidence is presented that a main reason is that consumers are not well informed about the cycles. Policy implications are discussed.

Suggested Citation

Noel, Michael D., Edgeworth Price Cycles and Intertemporal Price Discrimination (May 10, 2011). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2653089 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2653089

Michael D. Noel (Contact Author)

Texas Tech University ( email )

237 Holden Hall
Box 41014
Lubbock, TX 79407
United States

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