The Individual Risk Assessment of Terrorism: Recent Developments

35 Pages Posted: 27 Sep 2015  

John Monahan

University of Virginia School of Law

Date Written: September 1, 2015

Abstract

This chapter synthesizes the existing evidence base on the individual risk assessment of terrorism, focusing critical attention on recent developments in the identification of valid risk factors. The most promising candidates for such risk factors identified here include ideologies, affiliations, grievances, moral emotions, and identities. Risk factors for lone-actor terrorism may diverge significantly from those for group-based terrorism. The chapter also reflects on what must happen if research on the risk assessment of terrorism is to yield knowledge that is actionable in the context of national security, i.e., the use of case-control, known-groups research designs.

Keywords: risk assessment, terrorism, prediction, crime, violence

Suggested Citation

Monahan, John, The Individual Risk Assessment of Terrorism: Recent Developments (September 1, 2015). Virginia Public Law and Legal Theory Research Paper No. 57. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2665815 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2665815

John Monahan (Contact Author)

University of Virginia School of Law ( email )

580 Massie Road
Charlottesville, VA 22903
United States
434-924-3632 (Phone)

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