The Adaptiveness in Stock Markets: Testing the Stylized Facts in the DAX 30
39 Pages Posted: 28 Sep 2015
Date Written: September 27, 2015
By testing a simple asset pricing model of heterogeneous agents to characterize the power-law behavior of the DAX 30 from 1975 to 2007, we provide supporting evidence on empirical findings that investors and fund managers use combinations of fixed and switching strategies based on fundamental and technical analysis when making investment decisions. By conducting econometric analysis via Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the autocorrelation patterns, the estimates of the power-law decay indices, (FI)GARCH parameters, and tail index of the model match closely the corresponding estimates for the DAX 30. A mechanism analysis based on the calibrated model provides further insights into the explanatory power of heterogeneous agent models.
Keywords: Adaptiveness, fundamental and technical analysis, stylized facts, power-law, tail index
JEL Classification: C15, D84, G12
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation